Dale Pinkert was back for his Friday residency to wrap a week that saw new records in silver, multiple central bank meetings, economic data and big swings in semis. The last full trading week of 2025 did not disappoint and the trading coach from TradeGATEhub helped us separate the signal from the noise.
The contrarian call. Dale thinks there is a decent possibility the US. dollar turned this week. While everyone else is talking about dollar debasement, Dale has been waiting for signs of a short-term dollar rally. He says if we start to close above 98, a key level he has been watching, the dollar is on its way to an important pivot that will surprise many.
The Fallout. …will be widespread. “The dollar is key and there’s going to be corrections across the board, including this bounce we are having in the S&Ps because there are some groups that haven’t even retraced fifty percent of the decline they’ve had, like semiconductors. So, the dollar is really important.” Dale thinks gold and silver also correct on the back of the stronger dollar, before eventually resuming their climb. Triple digit silver is in his forecast but not before a pullback. He thinks it is possible the dollar rally takes DXY to 103 and if he’s right, during that time, he thinks people will be, “…raising cash and selling.”
Color Him Skeptical. Tech rebounded at the end of the week thanks to record earnings and a bullish outlook from Micron and news that troubled child Oracle will be part of the team taking over U.S. operations of TikTok (still to be confirmed by the Chinese government). Dale is not buying it. “Do you think AI turned around after a one-week pullback?” This looks like a bear market rally to him in SOXX and NVDA based on what he is seeing on momentum readings.
What Does Rally? The only thing Dale is constructive on here is oil. “I was looking for one more low in WTI to take out all the stops and that happened this week…I think the dollar and WTI are also gonna rally together.”
Question Time. Coach is always great about looking at charts on the fly and the questions in live chats were humming today. Here are a couple of the tickers he reviewed: RY, FTI, SCZMD, GBPUSD.
Parting Advice. Dale cautions you may not want to hold positions through the next two holiday shortened weeks. When no one thinks anything is going to happen is exactly when they usually do. Thin trading conditions can exaggerate moves. Better to play it safe. He also advises taking a wait and see approach with cannabis names. When he turns his experienced eye to the charts in that sector this week, it looks like a classic pump and dump. He is not pointing fingers but….you can follow the smoke signals.
Parting Song. You’ve been asking… and Coach finally delivered and closed the show with a song - his rendition of the Elvis Christmas classic Blue Christmas! We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again; Dale is a man of many skills. We won’t see him over the holiday break, but he’ll be back with his Friday Market House residency to kick off the new year.
Thank you Kew, Robert Weisenburger, Etienne Delagrave, and many others for tuning into my live video! Join me for my next live video in the app.
